Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Junker hints a hard Brexit scenario, RBA meeting minutes

Junker: "No. Britain's example will make everyone realise that it's not worth leaving."He added: "On the contrary, the remaining member states will fall in love with each other again and renew their vows with the European Union."

I read this as a sign that the EU want to create precedent with UK. This clearly could fuel hard Brexit expectations. EUR strengthened against the GBP, but the move did not seem to be decisive.

RBA meeting minutes:
- build-up of risks in the housing market
- weak wage growth

- rising AUD would complicate economic transition
- Higher commodity prices could last longer than first thought given firmer global demand

AUD is a major resistance now:
NZD Credit Card Spending y/y:

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